Planned Economies and the Cost of the Cold – The Soviet Case

How about a really big steel plant… right here?

A friend and fellow Technology Governance student here at the Tallinn University  of Technology shared with me two papers by Tatiana Mikhailova from Harvard’s Davis Center and Boston University’s economics department, in which she argues that spatial inefficiency caused by Soviet planning may be costing Russia more than 1,2% of their GDP annually compared to a market-based counter-factual scenario, chiefly because of higher energy costs necessitated by cold weather.

I’ve included the abstract of Mikhailova’s paper The Cost of the Cold: The Legacy of Soviet Location Policy in Russian Energy Consumption, Productivity, and Growth below:

The spatial allocation of productive resources in present day Russia is inherited from the Soviet Union. Soviet system allocated investments without regard to economic efficiency, as the result the colder regions of Russia are significantly overpopulated compared to the market-based counterfactual. This paper estimates the cost imposed on Russia by this excess exposure to cold through excess energy use and loss of productivity. We show that the inherited spatial inefficiency costs Russia above 1.2% GDP annually in extra energy consumption and construction productivity alone.

Thanks to Mihhail, a loyal Evolution-Revolution reader, for sharing the papers.