To inform, confuse, and enlighten; in economic matters as well as philosophical ones. Jørund Aarsnes and Stephan Jensen write on economics and the human condition.
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Category — Science

The World is Complex, We Disagree with Ourselves or On the Problem of Making Sweeping Generalizations

Last week we endorsed an article on collapsing business models, but having read this must-read critique of it and the journalistic style it applies, one comes to wonder how accurate the analysis really is. When reading articles that tries to make sweeping generalizations just on the basis of a few cases or examples, we must really strive not to be swayed by what is most likely pure dramaturgy and seduction from the author.


A complex system that is very difficult to describe by a single phrase –
Photo Credits

Thinking further about  this problem, business books that try to coin new phrases come to mind. Malcom Gladwell is a master of this art writing books such as “The Tipping Point” and “Outliers”.  Be careful when reading this, [Read more →]

April 27, 2010   No Comments

The Evolution of Technology and the Devolution of Man

The Future State of Humanity? Photo by Aaron Haussman

Friedrich Georg Jünger, translator of the Iliad to the German and expert on Pre-Socratic philosophy has written one of the most powerful critiques of technology named “Failure of Technology: Perfection without Purpose.” I will present some of his most important criticisms of technological progress in general and their relevance for the technological development we are seeing today.

For better or worse, it is certain that technological development is truly changing our society and the way we live. [Read more →]

March 7, 2010   8 Comments

Will Nanotech Kill Markets?

 

Above: Nanotech is coming to get you

One of the first definitions of Economics I came across in my life was “the study of scarce resources and unlimited wants.” That is, how choices are made with regards to which of the unlimited wants are to be met and not, or in other words, how resources are allocated. Here, markets come in as one of many possible mechanisms for making such choices socially.

In the context of Technology Governance, another way of understanding economics appears. That is, in recognizing that in the presence of innovation and changing technology, economic systems are not static, the extent to which resources are scarce depends on our ability to produce. As such, economics in this context can be better described as the study of how humans mitigate scarcity of resources by means of technology. Here, the core questions do not so much relate to allocation of scarce resources but to our changing capacity to make available those resources.

However, technology does not only change which resources or goods are available in which quantities, they also strongly influence the market (or other) mechanisms by which they get distributed. [Read more →]

March 2, 2010   6 Comments

Power Corrupts

According to this article in The Economist, recent research into the psychology of power has provided som interesting insights into the anecdotal hypothesis that “power corrupts”. In a study done by Dutch and American researchers, experiment participants in an emotionally induced position of power tended to hold themselves to a lower moral standard than participants assigned to a control group not given power. That is, they would be significantly more likely to think that it would be perfectly fine for them to cheat on their taxes while at the same time frowning upon others doing the same. There are of course ample examples of this throughout human history and present.  Ted Haggard, the former leader of one of the largest American conservative evangelical mega-churches as well as the enormous National Association of Evangelicals, condemned homosexuality while frequently purchasing sex and methamphetamine from male prostitutes. The notorious Chairman Mao (pictured above gracing a crowd of cheering Chinese proletarians with his presence) caused the deaths of more than 70 million people and demanded that the entire population of China give up private property while he himself lived a life of extreme luxury.

However, the most interesting part of the recent study suggest that the picture is more complicated. In particular, the study found that when people feel like the power they have is not deserved the picture changes completely. In fact, test subjects who felt like they had undeserved power were significantly more likely than the control group to judge themselves much more harshly than others. That is, they would think it would be more okay for their neighbor to cheat on their taxes or steal a bike than for themselves to do it.

This brings up some interesting points about leadership, both in politics and business. In a sense, the moral foundation of capitalism is the idea that you always get what you deserve – and what better way of being told you are entitled to power than being given millions of dollars to thank you for having it. Democratic government is perhaps even worse. Cheering crowds and millions of supporters marching off to vote for you on election day is hardly a way to make you feel like you didn’t deserve it.

Venetian Democracy

The Greeks and their successors emphasized education as a means to ensure moral ballast and humility. Anarchists believe that we could do away with power altogether (I’ll see you in the Hobbesian state of nature).  Personally, I like the Venetian approach.  The longest surviving republic in history partially solved the problem outlined above by using an exceedingly complicated election process featuring numerous lotteries to select people  for office. Of course, the question remains whether humble and responsible leaders selected by random are better than self-righteous ones we elect. Optimality, as always, is elusive.

 

 

February 8, 2010   2 Comments